President William Ruto remains the most preferred presidential candidate ahead of Kenya’s 2027 General Election, according to a new national opinion poll released by Infotrak Research and Consulting on Monday, July 13, 2026.

The survey places Ruto at 32 per cent support, giving him a clear lead over potential challengers but leaving him well below the 50 per cent mark required for an outright presidential victory under Kenya’s Constitution. Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka ranks second at 13 per cent, while Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i are tied at 12 per cent each.

Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua follows at 4 per cent, while Embakasi East MP Babu Owino records 3 per cent. Former Chief Justice David Maraga stands at 2 per cent, with People’s Liberation Party leader Martha Karua at 1 per cent.

A significant 18 per cent of respondents said they were undecided, while another 3 per cent declined to disclose their preferred candidate. The size of the undecided group indicates that voter preferences remain fluid as the country moves closer to the August 2027 election. The poll also found a modest gender difference in support for the president. Ruto recorded 34 per cent support among male respondents and 30 per cent among female respondents. Undecided voters accounted for 20 per cent of women surveyed, compared with 15 per cent of men.

According to Infotrak’s survey data, the results reflect current voter preferences rather than a prediction of the final election outcome. Political alliances, candidate nominations, campaign developments and shifts in public opinion could still reshape the race before voters go to the polls.

The survey was conducted between June 22 and June 26, 2026, and involved 3,000 adult respondents drawn from all 47 counties, according to reports on the poll. The findings were released as political parties and prospective candidates intensify preparations for the 2027 contest. The results point to a fragmented field outside Ruto’s support base. None of the individual opposition figures tested in the poll reached 15 per cent, although their combined support represents a substantial share of the electorate.

In a separate question examining possible opposition partnerships, a hypothetical Kalonzo Musyoka–Edwin Sifuna ticket emerged as the most preferred pairing at 23 per cent. A Kalonzo–Matiang’i combination followed at 16 per cent, while 21 per cent of respondents remained undecided on their preferred opposition ticket.

The findings suggest that the choice of a joint opposition candidate and running mate could become a major factor in the 2027 contest. However, the poll does not establish that supporters of different opposition figures would automatically transfer their support to a single candidate if a coalition were formed.

The latest figures also represent an early snapshot of a presidential race that has yet to take its final shape. Several of the political figures included in the survey have been discussed as possible contenders, but the eventual ballot will depend on formal candidacies, party nominations and coalition arrangements.

Under Article 138 of the Constitution, a candidate must receive more than half of all votes cast nationally and at least 25 per cent of the votes cast in more than half of Kenya’s 47 counties to win the presidency in the first round. If no candidate meets both requirements, a fresh election is held between the two leading candidates.

The Infotrak findings therefore show Ruto leading the current field but do not, on their own, indicate an outright first-round victory. With about a year remaining before the 2027 General Election, the large undecided vote and the absence of a dominant challenger leave considerable room for changes in voter preferences.

The poll’s central finding is clear: Ruto currently holds the largest individual share of support, while the opposition vote is spread across several potential candidates. Whether that advantage holds will depend on how the political field develops and how undecided voters make their choices as the election approaches.